The overall number of U.S.
customers subscribing to online services has declined,
according to Telecommunications
Reports International's Online Census. It's the
first decrease recorded by the quarterly online census
in its 21 years in existence.
TR's Online Census found the
number of online household subscribers dropped a
slight 0.29 percent during the first quarter of 2001
to slightly less than 68.5 million. The study
indicates the drop was due to subscriber accounts lost
when the free ISP market saw several companies cease
operation in recent months. Subscribers in the free
ISP sector plummeted more than 19 percent during the
first quarter of 2001.
The number of new users of DSL
access also slowed in the first quarter of the year.
DSL saw tremendous growth of more than 86 percent
during the last quarter of 2000, but the first quarter
of 2001 saw growth in subscribers slow to just 2
percent amidst chaos in the DSL market. Verizon, saw
33 percent growth rate to 720,000 subscribers.
According to SBC, its number of DSL customers grew
from 201,000 to 954,000 from Q1 2000 to Q1 2001.
The beneficiaries of the free
ISP and DSL slowdowns were cable modem services and
paid dial-up ISPs. TR's Online Census reported the
cable modem market continued to see a strong growth
rate of 18 percent during the first quarter while paid
dial-up ISP users grew nearly 8 percent.
|
Online
Growth by Access Category
|
|
Service
Category
|
Customers
|
Q1
2001
Growth
|
|
Paid
Dial-Up ISP
|
49,606,798
|
7.61%
|
|
Free
ISPs*
|
10,260,000
|
-19.44%
|
|
Cable
Modems
|
4,931,419
|
18.01%
|
|
Internet
TV
|
1,204,000
|
0.0%
|
|
DSL
|
2,404,000
|
1.97%
|
|
Satellite
|
75,000
|
n/a
|
|
Total
|
68,481,217
|
-0.29%
|
|
*
Active subscribers
Source: TR's
Online Census
|
"During the first quarter,
the online industry was faced with several very
significant challenges. First, free ISPs could not
sustain business and keep even active customers
onboard while advertising dried up, and the DSL
market, which had been so strongly touted, began to
really struggle," said Amy Fickling, managing
editor of TR's Online Census. "But while growth
overall during the first quarter was stagnant, the
online market is still showing pockets of growth. Over
the past 12 months, it enjoyed growth of 36 percent
despite the problems within the DSL and free ISP
sectors."
One year ago, TR's Online Census
found free ISPs basking in some of the strongest
growth rates in the online industry. This year, they
recorded a 19 percent loss in the number of active
subscribers, bringing down the number of free ISP
subscribers to 10.26 million. NetZero seems to be the
only winner in this market, picking up a number of the
no-fee customers abandoned by the shuttered ISPs.
The paid dial-up access market
had an overall growth rate of more than 7 percent.
These providers now reach 49.6 million consumers. The
survey found that most traditional ISPs reported slow
growth during the usually booming postholiday online
season, but Microsoft's MSN saw a 25 percent increase
to 5,000,000 in its number of subscribers. MSN now is
the No. 2 service provider after AOL. Rounding out the
top five dial-up ISPs are EarthLink, NetZero and Juno
Web, which still includes two large free ISPs.
Cable modem providers have
picked up the broadband access market, reporting an 18
percent growth rate during the first quarter and now
reaching nearly 5 million subscribers. Road Runner,
the No. 2 player in the market after @Home, attributed
some of its 63 percent growth rate during the first
quarter to the volatility in the DSL market.
The market for Internet access
via television saw no growth during the first quarter
of 2001, and could decline as the major players shift
their focus. Microsoft's WebTV, long the leader
sector, is being phased out in favor of UltimateTV.
AOL is also looking at new access alternatives beyond
AOL-TV to attract subscribers, including the AOL Plus
venture in connection with Hughes Network Systems'
satellite service.